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Iowa Caucus and New Hampshire Primary: Recap, Analysis, and a Look Towards the Future

It’s officially presidential election season! As is tradition, the Iowa Caucus, held on Monday, January 15th, marked the official start of the Republican presidential primary calendar. Iowa is critical to the presidential primary process because it is the first state to hold a contest, and its results have been vital to propelling candidates forward to be their party’s nominee. Due to its importance, candidates always spend significant money, resources, and time in Iowa ahead of the caucus.

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Investors and the Election

Who would’ve guessed elections are great for the market? The S&P 500 has had its best week since April. At the time of writing, Biden has been declared President-elect, and it looks likely that Republicans will hold the Senate. However, the major equity indexes rose sharply on Wednesday and Thursday despite the outcome still being a toss-up. Doesn’t uncertainty translate to volatility in the markets?

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