The letter started with a non-subtle flex: a table showing that Berkshire has returned an overall gain of over 2,800,000% to its shareholders since 1965, while the S&P 500 has only returned 23,000%, including dividends.
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Jerome Powell appears to remain dovish on interest rates as long-term Treasury yields continue to spike. While undermining the equity markets overall, inflation is nowhere near the Fed’s 2% target, and the labor market has not returned to full employment.
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Janet Yellen’s G-20 letter served as an urgent call for a multilateral effort to tackle key issues. The primary focus was to call on countries to act quickly on COVID-19, stating that a global vaccination effort is the strongest stimulus the global economy could receive. She also suggested that the IMF allocate SDRs to enhance liquidity for low-income countries.
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Facebook is concerned about a future iOS update that would pose a threat to its advertising business because of built-in privacy protections the software will have. Facebook relies on the collection of data to provide marketers with tools to target certain individuals. In their business, the tiniest improvement to the funnel could mean millions or even tens of millions of dollars.
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Major indexes faltered this week while Treasury Yields soared. The 10Y Treasury yield has passed 1.3%. In theory, these two should move in the same direction. Treasury yields rise because investors are rotating out of them and into riskier assets like equities. This is known as risk-on.
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The markets hate uncertainty, and now that the election is behind us investors have a clearer picture of what the future will look like. We are still waiting to see who will control the US Senate, and we have to wait until January for Georgia to hold two run-off elections.
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Who would’ve guessed elections are great for the market? The S&P 500 has had its best week since April. At the time of writing, Biden has been declared President-elect, and it looks likely that Republicans will hold the Senate. However, the major equity indexes rose sharply on Wednesday and Thursday despite the outcome still being a toss-up. Doesn’t uncertainty translate to volatility in the markets?
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