Gold Price Falls below $2,650. What Could this Mean for Investors?
Peter Gozsa
Staff Writer
Gold prices have taken a dip for the second day in a row. Sliding by 0.6% and settling at around $2,639 per ounce. This surprised many as the backdrop of falling U.S. Treasury yields and rising global political risks. While these may be small factors, the biggest factor is the ongoing strength of the US dollar and how it has dampened the price of gold. The recent selloff occurred in September even though gold gained over 5.4%, which was the highest monthly performance since March 2024. However, the current trajectory raises questions for investors about gold’s short-term pricing.
Geopolitical Risks
Despite the rising tensions in the Middle East, gold has struggled to maintain any sort of growth. Even Israel’s attack on Hezbollah’s headquarters in Lebanon, which one would think would prompt safe-haven assets such as gold, has not resulted in any appreciable increase in value.
Meanwhile, China’s slowing economy has prompted the People’s Bank of China to increase stimulus measures. This caused Chinese equities to rise. The effect is that it caused people to investigate riskier assets and steer away from gold.
Federal Reserve Signals Weigh on Gold Prices
The Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell spoke at the 66th NABE Annual Meeting and influenced gold’s recent drop. A 50-basis-point rate cut was rejected by Powell for the upcoming 2024 policy meetings, but the possibility of two 25 bps rate reductions for next year was acknowledged if economic conditions develop as projected. This has positively impacted the U.S. dollar as traders changes their positions in anticipation of changes in monetary policy. The U.S. Dollar Index rose by 0.15% to 100.56, and this increase has negatively affected gold, as it typically weakens when the dollar increases in value.
What Could this Mean for Investors?
The Short-term outlook doesn’t look good as Gold dropped below $2650 support level and could possibility dip below $2600. However, the long-term look for gold still looks bullish. The recent drop could allow investors to buy in cheaply especially if they plan to invest long-term. Renewed strength might be found by gold in the second half of 2025 because the Federal Reserve is likely to reduce rates further. Nevertheless, dollar strength and profit-taking might continue to affect prices in the near term. Investors should remain vigilant and consider both the macroeconomic and geopolitical landscapes when making decisions.
In Summary
The price of gold has dipped the past couple of months, and analysts are concerned about the further dip in the price of Gold. Global events haven’t triggered an increase in price like past events either. Lastly, while the short-term doesn’t look good, analysts project an increase in price over the long term for investors.
Contact Peter at Peter.Gosza@student.shu.edu