{"id":5205,"date":"2017-02-07T14:19:49","date_gmt":"2017-02-07T19:19:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/thediplomaticenvoy.com\/?p=5205"},"modified":"2017-02-07T14:19:49","modified_gmt":"2017-02-07T19:19:49","slug":"seeing-a-teachable-moment-faculty-panel-discuss-diplomacy-in-trumps-world-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.shu.edu\/thediplomaticenvoy\/2017\/02\/07\/seeing-a-teachable-moment-faculty-panel-discuss-diplomacy-in-trumps-world-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Seeing a \u2018Teachable Moment,\u2019 Faculty Panel Discuss Diplomacy in Trump\u2019s World"},"content":{"rendered":"

By Francesca Regalado<\/b>
\n<\/b>Managing Editor<\/i><\/b><\/p>\n

Two days before the inauguration of Donald Trump as the 45<\/span>th<\/span> president of the United States, there was barely any room to sit in the spacious Beck Rooms when members of the School of Diplomacy\u2019s faculty seized the opportunity to discuss the future of international relations. <\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cThese things are what we like to call \u2018teachable moments,\u2019\u201d said Dr. Martin S. Edwards, who spearheaded the event and moderated the panel discussion. \u201cNot just in terms of sharing our professional toolkit to help frame ways to think about the next four years, but also in \u2013 something we\u2019re all going to need a great deal of \u2013 modeling appropriate public discourse.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

Five professors were on the dais to deliver prepared remarks on their respective fields of expertise, then to answer questions from students, faculty, alumni, and visitors. Dr. Nabeela Alam, the School\u2019s resident economist, warned that policies aimed at reestablishing American preeminence could create an opening for China to overtake the United States.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump, who ran on an economic platform of protectionism, frequently said that the United States was losing not only its preeminence to China, but also on trade deals with other countries. \u201cBy withdrawing from the TPP, the U.S. would actually be facilitating that,\u201d Alam said about the Trans-Pacific Partnership, a trade deal among 12 Pacific Rim states looking to hedge against China\u2019s regional economic dominance that Trump promised to withdraw from during the election campaign.<\/span><\/p>\n

According to Dr. Alam, the United States could also stand losing to China in terms of innovative clean energy. Citing a report on <\/span>The Independent<\/span><\/a> that China had scrapped the construction of 85 coal power plants and was instead investing $300 billion into clean energy, Dr. Alam compared that development to Trump\u2019s campaign promise to save the American coal mining industry. \u201cThat\u2019s another area where China would be going ahead,\u201d she said.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dr. Ann Marie Murphy, an expert on Southeast Asia, warned that abandoning the United States\u2019 allies in Asia would create a security spiral as they seek to deter not only China, but also North Korea, which has been developing an intercontinental ballistic missile. \u201cHe\u2019s tweeted that North Korea will not be allowed to achieve this capacity, but he\u2019s articulated no problem,\u201d she said, adding that Trump\u2019s antagonism of China while calling on China to step in on the North Korean issue was worrisome. <\/span><\/p>\n

Trump has expressed that he would not be opposed to Japan and South Korea\u2019s development of a nuclear weapons, but Fr. Brian Muzas, whose expertise is in defense systems, said Trump has made conflicting remarks that each echo a different theory of nuclear policy: selective proliferation, nuclear deterrence, or nuclear abolition.<\/span><\/p>\n

Of the international treaties and alliances that Trump would withdraw the United States from, none has caused as much concern among Diplomacy students as recent legislation proposed by Republican senators to defund the United Nations, which would extend to U.N. peacekeeping operations and the World Health Organization. As a possible consequence, other countries might step up their contributions \u2013 and influence \u2013 to the U.N. \u201cAt that point, Congress will have to choose between principle and reality, and that reality is that they have just chosen to diminish American influence,\u201d said Dr. Edwards, whose research is on international organizations and global governance.<\/span><\/p>\n

Edwards, however, was optimistic. According to him, Trump\u2019s remarks that the U.S. would be making \u201ca lot of deals\u201d at the U.N. in the coming years indicates that Trump, despite the Republican Party, recognizes the value of the United Nations: efficiency. \u201cThis is a place where you can speak to 193 countries on a whole range of issues,\u201d Dr. Edwards said. Moreover, Trump will have an opportunity to lead when the United States holds the rotating presidency of the Security Council in April. Finally, he was hopeful that Trump would find common ground with Secretary-General Antonio Guterres, who, like Trump, campaigned as a reformer. If Guterres and Trump were to meet, \u201cGuterres may just charm his socks off,\u201d Dr. Edwards said.<\/span><\/p>\n

Similarly, Dr. Sara Moller, whose expertise is in international security, said she was \u201ccautiously optimistic\u201d about NATO\u2019s future in the Trump administration. Although Trump has referred to NATO as an \u201cobsolete\u201d alliance, Dr. Moller argued that NATO has never failed to protect its member states and is, in fact, a bargain for the United States. \u201cThe concerns about burden-sharing are legitimate to me. Europe has been freeriding on American taxpayers for years,\u201d she said, but not to the extent that Trump has overestimated.<\/span><\/p>\n

According to Moller, the United States\u2019 $500 million contribution to NATO this year is a paltry sum compared to the country\u2019s $583 billion total defense budget, but wealthy NATO members such as Germany and Canada indeed fall short of meeting the contribution threshold, which is 2 percent of a country\u2019s GDP.<\/span><\/p>\n

Beyond burden-sharing, Moller looked forward to Trump\u2019s mid-level appointments, such as assistant secretary of defense for Europe and NATO, and to whether Trump would attend the NATO summit in Brussels this summer. She will also be observing whether Trump will push member states to coalesce around NATO, or to embrace a common defense arrangement with the European Union, which she called NATO\u2019s \u201crival.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

Unlike his candor regarding the United Nations, China, the TPP, and NATO, Trump \u201calmost ignored\u201d Latin America during the campaign, beyond proposals to curb illegal immigration from the region. Dr. Benjamin Goldfrank, who will be leading a study abroad trip to Cuba in March, said the Trump administration would have small stakes in reinstating the embargo on Cuba, a move that would only cut off possibilities for U.S. businesses. <\/span><\/p>\n

Problems, Dr. Goldfrank warned, would result from neglecting Latin America. \u201cLatin America becomes a priority for the United States only when there are crises, like guerrilla movements and revolutions that are threatening to U.S. interests,\u201d he said. The peace deal between Colombia and FARC last year marked the end of the era of guerrilla movements and revolutions, but Trump\u2019s proposed deportation of Latin American and Caribbean immigrants would worsen regional humanitarian and economic crises and have repercussions on the United States.<\/span><\/p>\n

The panelists each tried to end their remarks on an optimistic note, with varied degrees of success. Asked where Trump could cause the most damage, Dr. Goldfrank said that with Trump\u2019s proposals to withdraw from the Paris climate deal and to allow oil drilling in the Arctic Ocean, the president is \u201cmore likely to cause climate destruction than nuclear destruction.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

Asked whether winning the popular vote but losing the electoral college would hurt Trump\u2019s legitimacy in the eyes of foreign leaders, Dr. Murphy responded that the United States\u2019 reputation is in question. \u201cWhat does it say about the citizens that elected him?\u201d she said. \u201cIs America ever going to be a reliable ally? Is America really a proponent of liberalization?\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Two days before the inauguration of Donald Trump as the 45th president of the United States, there was barely any room to sit in the spacious Beck Rooms when members of the School of Diplomacy\u2019s faculty seized the opportunity to discuss the future of international relations. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1960,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[976,383,389],"tags":[404,408,636,704,897],"class_list":["post-5205","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-february-2017","category-us","category-diplo-news","tag-elections","tag-politics","tag-foreign-policy","tag-school-of-diplomacy","tag-donald-trump"],"yoast_head":"\nSeeing a \u2018Teachable Moment,\u2019 Faculty Panel Discuss Diplomacy in Trump\u2019s World - 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