{"id":11155,"date":"2021-11-24T16:00:10","date_gmt":"2021-11-24T21:00:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.shu.edu\/thediplomaticenvoy\/?p=11155"},"modified":"2021-11-24T15:53:33","modified_gmt":"2021-11-24T20:53:33","slug":"focus-on-global-pariahs-abiy-ahmed","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.shu.edu\/thediplomaticenvoy\/2021\/11\/24\/focus-on-global-pariahs-abiy-ahmed\/","title":{"rendered":"FOCUS on Global Pariahs: Abiy Ahmed"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>Sergei Valenzuela<br \/>\n<\/b><b><i>Staff Writer<\/i><\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">In 2019, Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed received the Nobel Peace Prize for ending a prolonged war against the neighboring nation of Eritrea. Today, however, Ethiopia is in civil strife and Abiy finds himself on the brink of losing his political legitimacy.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Abiy Ahmed ascended to office in 2018, becoming the first member of the Oromo ethnic group to lead Ethiopia, according to <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2018\/12\/31\/africa\/abiy-ahmed-ethiopia-2018-analysis-intl\/index.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">CNN<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">. After years of being ruled by the Tigray Peoples Liberation Front (TPLF), a political entity representing the minority Tigrayan ethnic group, many in Ethiopia looked to find a new beginning under Abiy and hoped his rhetoric of peace and unity would bring Ethiopia together for good.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">To understand Abiy Ahmed\u2019s agenda as prime minister, it is important to first understand Ethiopia\u2019s political landscape and the TPLF\u2019s role in politics. The TPLF rose to power in 1991 after toppling the dictatorship of the Mengistu Miriam through the use of guerilla warfare. After dismantling the oppressive regime, the TPLF held a firm grip on power by leading the ruling Ethiopian People&#8217;s Revolutionary Democratic Front until Abiy came to power in 2018.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Abiy Ahmed\u2019s new government fragmented the TPLF\u2019s hold on power and challenged the complicated inter-ethnic relations of Ethiopia by becoming the first prime minister of Oromo descent. An additional <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2021\/09\/07\/africa\/abiy-ahmed-ethiopia-tigray-conflict-cmd-intl\/index.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">CNN<\/span><\/a> <span style=\"font-weight: 400\">report says t<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">hat Abiy sought peace and unity by lifting restrictions on the press, welcoming back banned political opposition parties, appointing women to cabinet positions, and opening up the economy.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The tensions between the TPLF and Abiy Ahmed escalated with several key events. One flashpoint was the prime minister\u2019s fixing of Eritrean-Ethiopian relations, which directly conflicted with the interests of the TPLF which was previously at war with Eritrea over the disputed shared border between the Tigray region and Eritrea. Abiy also created a new coalition called the Prosperity Party, which the TPLF directly opposed because it dissolved the ruling coalition that included the TPLF.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The incident that sparked the recent Tigray was the postponement of the country\u2019s 2020 regional elections due to the COVID-19 pandemic. <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vox.com\/22370629\/ethiopia-tigray-eritrea-amhara-war-ethnic-cleansing\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Vox<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> reports that the TPLF held the prime minister postponed elections because Abiy did not believe he would win. In retaliation, the TPLF held regional elections in Tigray anyway, setting up a showdown with the central government. Abiy responded by cutting off federal funds to Tigray, which ultimately resulted in the TPLF taking over a federal military base in Tigray and taking control of the area.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foreignaffairs.com\/articles\/africa\/2020-12-30\/abiy-ahmeds-crisis-legitimacy?utm_medium=promo_email&amp;utm_source=lo_flows&amp;utm_campaign=registered_user_welcome&amp;utm_term=email_1&amp;utm_content=20211117\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Foreign Affairs<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> reports that efforts to centralize power around Abiy\u2019s Prosperity party have led to the suppression of ethnic groups around the regions, especially Tigrayans. According to <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2021\/09\/07\/africa\/abiy-ahmed-ethiopia-tigray-conflict-cmd-intl\/index.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">CNN<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, an Ethiopian diplomat who has known the prime minister<\/span> <span style=\"font-weight: 400\">for almost 20 years wrote <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">a scathing<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> open letter <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">saying, <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u201cOne of the ironies of a prime minister who came to office promising unity is that he has deliberately exacerbated hatred between different groups.\u201d In his quest to centralize power, Abiy has been accused of not respecting each ethnicity-based region\u2019s autonomy. This system of \u201cethnic federalism\u201d was protected and acknowledged by the old TPLF government and but did little to put an end to ethnic conflicts.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Worries of ethnic autonomy are not exclusive to the Tigray region. <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2021\/09\/07\/africa\/abiy-ahmed-ethiopia-tigray-conflict-cmd-intl\/index.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">CNN reports<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> that Ahmed\u2019s own home Oromia region is also calling for self-rule. Ethnic militias in Amhara are also forming, claiming that they are re-seizing their land. To counter the TPLF\u2019s attack on a federal military base, the Ethiopian Military has dispatched forces to fight TPLF forces, wreaking havoc amongst locals in Tigray. <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2021\/11\/05\/world\/africa\/ethiopia-tigray-eight-groups.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The New York Times<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> reports that Ethiopian human rights organizations, along with the UN, released a joint report that indicates \u201c<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">appalling levels of brutality\u201d in the war, including extrajudicial killings, sexual violence, and attacks on refugees.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The conflict goes far beyond political power in the region. Some militias are not only opposing the central government but are also carrying out attacks on civilians and pushing them out of their territory. All of these events will make it hard for Abiy Ahmed to remain a figure of peace for Ethiopia.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The international community has isolated Abiy Ahmed for his shortcomings on his promises of peace and unity. The unique ethnopolitical landscape of Ethiopia is a fertile ground for new coalitions to be formed opposing Abiy Ahmed\u2019s government. Now that war has struck Ethiopia, observers question whether Abiy Ahmed ever had true intentions of bringing peace to Ethiopia and whether the country\u2019s inter-ethnic relations make it too difficult for one government to bring prosperity and peace to everyone. <\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In 2019, Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed received the Nobel Peace Prize for ending a prolonged war against the neighboring nation of Eritrea. Today, however, Ethiopia is in civil strife and Abiy finds himself on the brink of losing his political legitimacy.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5046,"featured_media":11135,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2282,2283,2104,5,385],"tags":[749,852,894,1446,1513,2066,2284],"class_list":["post-11155","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-november-2021","category-global-pariahs","category-2104","category-focus","category-africa","tag-ethiopia","tag-africa","tag-focus","tag-conflict","tag-nobel-peace-prize","tag-tigray","tag-pariah"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>FOCUS on Global Pariahs: Abiy Ahmed - The Diplomatic Envoy<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.shu.edu\/thediplomaticenvoy\/2021\/11\/24\/focus-on-global-pariahs-abiy-ahmed\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"FOCUS on Global Pariahs: Abiy Ahmed - The Diplomatic Envoy\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"In 2019, Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed received the Nobel Peace Prize for ending a prolonged war against the neighboring nation of Eritrea. 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