{"id":5708,"date":"2022-10-25T19:31:09","date_gmt":"2022-10-25T23:31:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.shu.edu\/journalofdiplomacy\/?p=5708"},"modified":"2022-10-25T19:31:09","modified_gmt":"2022-10-25T23:31:09","slug":"uninspired-uavs-offering-a-better-path-than-over-the-horizon","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.shu.edu\/journalofdiplomacy\/2022\/10\/uninspired-uavs-offering-a-better-path-than-over-the-horizon\/","title":{"rendered":"Uninspired UAVs: Offering A Better Path Than Over-the-Horizon"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Image: &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.flickr.com\/photos\/33252741@N08\/38342840914\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">California National Guard<\/a>&#8221; by\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.flickr.com\/photos\/33252741@N08\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The National Guard<\/a>\u00a0is licensed under\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/2.0\/?ref=openverse\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">CC BY 2.0<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">By<\/span> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/peter-v-roberto\/\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">Peter Roberto<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">In the aftermath of the <\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">U.S.\u2019s withdrawal from Afghanistan<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">, the Biden administration has taken this time to reimagine U.S. counterterrorism strategy by investing in what it calls <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.whitehouse.gov\/briefing-room\/speeches-remarks\/2021\/08\/31\/remarks-by-president-biden-on-the-end-of-the-war-in-afghanistan\/\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u201cover-the-horizon\u201d capabilities<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"none\">. These counterterrorism capabilities allow the U.S. to strike at terrorist leaders from unmanned ariel vehicles (UAVs) but <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.csis.org\/analysis\/counterterrorism-sky-how-think-over-horizon-about-drones\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">omit the crucial ground element<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"none\"> to counterterrorism operations, taking away valuable human intelligence sources. While the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/world-asia-62387167\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">killing of al-Qaeda\u2019s leader Ayman al-Zawahiri<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"none\"> may seem like a victory in the U.S.\u2019s long-running struggle against terrorism, this rebranding of drone strikes not only presents issues to the U.S.\u2019s credibility as a security partner but diverts attention and resources from meaningful counterterrorism efforts. <\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">As a result, utilizing non-kinetic options, like community policing, can not only fulfill the U.S.\u2019s international counterterrorism objectives but repair its global image at the same time.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559731&quot;:720,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">The Biden administration has tailored its counterterrorism strategy towards methods that limit U.S. ground presence and are more cost-effective. The U.S.\u2019s strategic outlook on its competitors has changed dramatically since the early 2000s. In the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.whitehouse.gov\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/NSC-1v2.pdf\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">most recent National Security Strategy<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"none\">,<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\"> \u00a0the U.S. now emphasizes the threats other states like China and Russia pose. Twenty years ago, competition between peer states was de-emphasized <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/2009-2017.state.gov\/documents\/organization\/63562.pdf\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">2002 National Security Strategy<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"none\">, and instead, there was a whole section dedicated solely to its counterterrorism strategy and non-state actors. The over-the-horizon counterterrorism strategy incorporates the views and desires of many Americans who <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/fact-tank\/2021\/08\/31\/majority-of-u-s-public-favors-afghanistan-troop-withdrawal-biden-criticized-for-his-handling-of-situation\/\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">supported withdrawal from Afghanistan<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"none\"> by the end of the conflict since the doctrine doesn\u2019t rely on long-term deployments. <\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559731&quot;:720,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">The U.S.\u2019s drone strike strategy is no stranger to commentary. From <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.defenseone.com\/ideas\/2021\/05\/redraw-limits-lethal-force-against-terrorism\/173890\/\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">analysts<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"none\"> and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/civiliansinconflict.org\/press-releases\/civic-statement-on-u-s-drone-strike-that-killed-civilians-in-kabul-afghanistan\/\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">activists<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"none\"> to <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.latimes.com\/opinion\/story\/2022-01-23\/civilian-casualties-airstrikes\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">academics<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"none\">, the U.S.\u2019s use of drones as a centerpiece of its counterterrorism strategy has been widely critiqued. These criticisms, however, emphasize several crucial points; drone strikes damage the U.S. on the world stage, undermine the international rule of law, and needlessly <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/web.law.columbia.edu\/sites\/default\/files\/microsites\/human-rights-institute\/files\/COLUMBIACountingDronesFinal.pdf\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">cause civilian casualties<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"none\"> that terrorist organizations can <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.csis.org\/analysis\/counterterrorism-sky-how-think-over-horizon-about-drones\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">use as a recruitment tool<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"none\">. We are entering a time when the U.S.\u2019s global reputation is at its most consequential. The U.S. faces China\u2019s <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/us-vp-harris-push-against-chinas-taiwan-policy-japan-speech-2022-09-27\/\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">challenges to the U.S.-backed rules-based order<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"none\">, and Russia is trying to reassert itself on the global stage as Putin <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cfr.org\/global-conflict-tracker\/conflict\/conflict-ukraine\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">continues his war against Ukraine<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"none\">.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559731&quot;:720,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">The U.S.\u2019s over-the-horizon strategy also faces a critical hurdle in being fully effective &#8211; <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.csis.org\/analysis\/counterterrorism-sky-how-think-over-horizon-about-drones\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">it intends to operate without a ground component<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"none\">. While those who support counterterrorism efforts without long-term deployments may champion this, the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookings.edu\/techstream\/us-faces-immense-obstacles-to-continued-drone-war-in-afghanistan\/\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">lack of human intelligence support<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"none\"> for these operations makes it more challenging to verify intelligence collected from electronics and communication. Traditional counterterrorism methods of using troops in a country <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/watson.brown.edu\/costsofwar\/costs\/human\/civilians\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">have produced civilian casualties<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"none\">, yet drone strikes <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.csis.org\/analysis\/counterterrorism-sky-how-think-over-horizon-about-drones\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">cause excessive civilian causalities<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"none\">. The reliance on drone strikes without critical human intelligence increases the likelihood of more civilian casualties as decision-makers are left with half a painted picture. Moreover, when intelligence is wrong or incomplete, decision-makers prepare operations with catastrophic consequences, much like <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/the%20strike%20in%20kabul\/\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">the strike in Kabul<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"none\"> that killed seven children in 2021. <\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">However, there is a way to revitalize the U.S.\u2019s counterterrorism strategy and reassert the U.S.\u2019s position as a reliable strategic partner in counterterrorism if more attention is given building human intelligence and relationships instead of removing them. The U.S.\u2019s counterterrorism strategy should revolve around non-kinetic forces, like <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/nij.ojp.gov\/topics\/articles\/importance-community-policing-preventing-terrorism\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">community policing<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"none\"> and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookings.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/Empowering-Pakistans-Civil-Society-to-Counter-Violent-Extremism-English.pdf\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">deradicalization efforts<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"none\">. Community policing\u2019s <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/nij.ojp.gov\/topics\/articles\/importance-community-policing-preventing-terrorism\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">emphasis on connections<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"none\"> between law enforcement and local communities makes it easier for extremist individuals to be identified since people within communities trust interacting with police. Deradicalization efforts would supplement community policing since they would seek to <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ipinst.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/publications\/a_new_approach_epub.pdf\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">combat extremist ideologies<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"none\"> and work exceptionally <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ipinst.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/publications\/a_new_approach_epub.pdf\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">well with other counterterrorism efforts<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"none\">.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559731&quot;:720,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">Additionally, the U.S. and its partners should bolster public services as part of its counterterrorism strategy. For example, some organizations like Hezbollah, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/health-coronavirus-lebanon-hezbollah-idINKBN21J6CR\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">provide <\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">assistance<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\"> where governments cannot, and others, like al-Shaab, act as the local government and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/sgp.fas.org\/crs\/row\/IF10170.pdf\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">resolve conflicts within communities<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"none\">. These organizations swooped in to meet the needs of governments that had <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.economist.com\/middle-east-and-africa\/2016\/09\/10\/most-failed-state\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">either failed<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"none\"> or whose <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/middle-east\/public-sector-paralysed-lebanon-lurches-towards-failed-state-2022-08-18\/\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">public sectors had been incapacitated<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"none\">. These community-centered counterterrorism approaches allow the U.S. and its partners to target the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.jstor.org\/stable\/pdf\/26907414.pdf?refreqid=excelsior%3Ab3f7bc084bd5284f133f471e3ae121f7&amp;ab_segments=&amp;origin=&amp;acceptTC=1\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">why behind people\u2019s motivation for joining terrorist organizations<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"none\">, which can help reduce further recruitment while simultaneously assisting a population.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559731&quot;:720,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">This isn\u2019t to say that the U.S. must abandon the getting of terrorist leaders. On the contrary, striking at terrorist leadership temporarily impairs<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/book\/584\/chapter-abstract\/135310973?redirectedFrom=fulltext\"><span data-contrast=\"none\"> terror organizations<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"none\">, and new technologies have led to <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/Politics\/hellfire-missiles-al-qaeda-leader-al-zawahiri-minimal\/story?id=87885003#:~:text=Used%20in%20other%20counterterrorism%20drone,to%20surrounding%20people%20or%20structures.\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">missiles designed to minimize collateral damage<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"none\">. But eliminating terrorist leadership can only go so far in countering terrorism. More sufficient countermeasures will require investing in communities and adequately providing public services to dissuade individuals from joining terrorist organizations. The U.S. and its allies can cultivate a stronger and more sustainable counterterrorism infrastructure through these measures.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559731&quot;:720,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">Targeting the recruiting ability of terrorist organizations will deal a strike with more significant damage than any drone ever could by hitting them where it hurts: in the manpower. Using non-kinetic methods, like community policing, allows the U.S. and its partners to create a more responsible and effective counterterrorism strategy that places long-term solutions over quick fixes.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559731&quot;:720,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">Peter Roberto is an M.A. candidate at Seton Hall University\u2019s School of Diplomacy and International Relations where he is the Editor-in-Chief of <\/span><\/i><span data-contrast=\"none\">the Journal of Diplomacy &amp; International Relations<\/span><i><span data-contrast=\"none\">. He is a member of the National Security Fellowship graduate program at Seton Hall University, providing research and policy recommendations to the State Department and Department of Defense this past academic year. Peter earned his bachelor&#8217;s degree in Criminology, Law and Society from George Mason University in 2021.<\/span><\/i><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Image: &#8220;California National Guard&#8221; by\u00a0The National Guard\u00a0is licensed under\u00a0CC BY 2.0. By Peter Roberto\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0 In the aftermath of the<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5376,"featured_media":5709,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1000,552,634,641,837,748,999,998],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5708","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-counterterrorism","category-military","category-editorial-blog","category-opinion","category-security","category-terrorism","category-uavs","category-us"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.shu.edu\/journalofdiplomacy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5708","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.shu.edu\/journalofdiplomacy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.shu.edu\/journalofdiplomacy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.shu.edu\/journalofdiplomacy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5376"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.shu.edu\/journalofdiplomacy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5708"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.shu.edu\/journalofdiplomacy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5708\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5711,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.shu.edu\/journalofdiplomacy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5708\/revisions\/5711"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.shu.edu\/journalofdiplomacy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5709"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.shu.edu\/journalofdiplomacy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5708"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.shu.edu\/journalofdiplomacy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5708"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.shu.edu\/journalofdiplomacy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5708"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}