{"id":5563,"date":"2022-03-03T15:06:06","date_gmt":"2022-03-03T20:06:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.shu.edu\/journalofdiplomacy\/?p=5563"},"modified":"2022-03-03T16:12:14","modified_gmt":"2022-03-03T21:12:14","slug":"victims-of-expansionist-states-the-case-of-western-sahara","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.shu.edu\/journalofdiplomacy\/2022\/03\/victims-of-expansionist-states-the-case-of-western-sahara\/","title":{"rendered":"Victims of Expansionist States: The Case of Western Sahara"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">By <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/chimdi-chukwukere-726a57143\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Chimdi Chukwukere<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The situation in Western Sahara has \u2018significantly deteriorated,&#8217; according to UN Secretary-General Ant\u00f3nio Guterres&#8217; <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/reliefweb.int\/report\/western-sahara\/question-western-sahara-report-secretary-general-a76388-enar#:~:text=In%20its%20resolution%202548%20(2020,for%20the%20sixth%20consecutive%20year.\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">latest report<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> to the Security Council, leading to renewed hostilities between Morocco and the Frente <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Polisario<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The inability or rather the unwillingness of the major stakeholders at the UN to find a solution to the Western Sahara situation comes off as though the international community now condones the disregard of international laws by expansionist states. Today diplomacy, or lack thereof, means that only the powerful get what they want, how they want it, and when they want it. The failure to vigorously call out Morocco for its misdeeds can only end up creating a pattern that encourages bad behavior from powerful expansionist states.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Diplomatic interventions are only successful when they go beyond performative actions and are combined with enforcement mechanisms. The absence of such mechanisms has contributed to the loss of momentum and trust and a reversal to armed conflict between Morocco and the Frente Polisario. Since 1985, several plans and proposals have been advanced by the Organization of African Unity (OAU, now African Union), UN, U.S., France, and even Morocco on how the conflict can be best settled. Both AU and UN Settlement proposals promised to hold a referendum for the self-determination of the inhabitants of Western Sahara. Although Morocco, Frente Polisario, and Algeria accepted the proposals, disagreements over voter eligibility and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.usip.org\/publications\/2006\/07\/united-nations-and-western-sahara-never-ending-affair\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">identification<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> fraud during the elections plagued the implementation of this proposal. After the settlement plan failed, former U.S. Secretary of State, James Baker III was appointed as Special Envoy on the Western Sahara issue and was charged with the mandate of breaking the deadlock and finding new solutions for the implementation of the settlement plan. The politicization of the voter identification process was also a major challenge the Baker team encountered. While the Frente Polisario was more open to the proposals, Morocco stalled the negotiations and was more unwilling to compromise, because it did not enjoy popular support and feared losing the referendum.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">This refusal to entertain compromise from all parties involved, external influences from outside powers, and hidden economic and geographical interests of neighboring states are some of the principal factors that account for the failure of international negotiation to achieve the ultimate interest of the people of Western Sahara\u2014total independence from Morocco and diplomatic recognition of its statehood. However, if progress must be made, the new United Nations Special Envoy, <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Staffan De Mistura, Swedish-Italian diplomat and former UN Special Envoy for Syria,<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> needs to be fully backed by UN Security Council members, particularly the Permanent Five (P-5) and especially the U.S.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Way Forward<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The Biden administration has an opportunity to infuse renewed momentum to the resolution of this conflict by reversing Washington\u2019s recognition of Morocco\u2019s sovereignty over Western Sahara. This is a policy position that enjoys measurable bipartisan support and one that will send a clear message that the U.S. is still committed to defending human rights and upholding democratic values in its foreign policies. Such policy will attract a backlash from Morocco, but it is needed for trust to be restored in the UN-led resolution process in that region.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">On the other hand, France must recognize that actions such as its unjust support of Morocco continue to delegitimize its already dwindling influence and presence on the African continent. If the French government desires to restore trust in Africa, it should reverse course and support the human rights of Sahrawis. The Security Council also needs to show more willingness in finding a solution by backing the Envoy with more enforcement power. There should be incentives and penalties for parties involved who deliberately decide not to accept an objective peace deal. No matter the level of experience De Mistura has, if he does not get the full support of the P-5 on Western Sahara, he will fail to find a solution to this impasse just like his predecessors.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Since <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/news\/2017\/1\/31\/morocco-rejoins-the-african-union-after-33-years\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Morocco has returned to the AU<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">,<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> which it previously abandoned because of the AU\u2019s recognition of Western Sahara, the Security Council should involve the AU in reaching a solution acceptable to all parties. Morocco exited the organization over the protest of the organization&#8217;s admittance of Western Sahara as a sovereign state and it has returned to the Union with Western Sahara still a legal member. However, Western Sahara remains a founding member of the AU and the organization is obligated by <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.achpr.org\/legalinstruments\/detail?id=49\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Article 20 of its Charter<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> to support the cause of the Sahrawis. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">By devoting more authority to the AU to find a solution, legal momentum and pressure will be injected to get Morocco to reach a suitable agreement for the independence of the Polisario front.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Lastly, Morocco\u2019s occupation of the Western Saharan territory can be likened to colonialism and should be treated as such.\u00a0 Western Sahara has a legal right to self-determination and total independence from Morocco; a position that is normatively and legally legitimate. The international community should commit to supporting the Frente Polisario&#8217;s right to independence through a joint communique that call-out Morocco\u2019s occupation of Western Sahara and puts pressure on them to free the territory. Ending apartheid rule in South Africa involved sanctions and several instruments of coercion and this conflict should be approached from such a perspective for a solution to be reached quickly. One of the lessons from the methods employed to end apartheid rule in South Africa is that economic embargos are effective, and this is one policy option available to all major stakeholders in this conflict.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">It goes without saying that although this case looks minute and has been ignored for decades, conflicts such as this encourage bad behavior from expansionist states because they perceive that there are no consequences to their actions. Today, it is Morocco laying claim to Western Sahara, tomorrow it may be Russia laying claim to more Ukrainian territories or China laying claim to Taiwan. These states must be adequately checked.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/chimdi-chukwukere-726a57143\/\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Chimdi Chukwukere<\/span><\/i><\/a><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> is an Associate Editor with the <\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Journal of Diplomacy and International Relations<\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> and a second-year M.A. candidate at the School of Diplomacy and International Relations at Seton Hall University. He is specializing in International Organizations &amp; Foreign Policy Analysis. He is also a National Security Fellowship research student and the Graduate Chair of the Black Diplomacy Student\u2019s Organization. He earned his bachelor\u2019s degree in 2017 from Paul University, Nigeria where he majored in History and International Relations.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Chimdi Chukwukere The situation in Western Sahara has \u2018significantly deteriorated,&#8217; according to UN Secretary-General Ant\u00f3nio Guterres&#8217; latest report to<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5107,"featured_media":5566,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[144,175,628,791,634,804,304],"tags":[975,169,976,45,613,520,977,686,63,233,974],"class_list":["post-5563","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-africa-2","category-editors-pick","category-human-rights","category-international-law","category-editorial-blog","category-political","category-united-nations","tag-biden-administration","tag-conflict","tag-expansionist-states","tag-france","tag-independence","tag-morocco","tag-occupation","tag-sovereignty","tag-united-nations","tag-usa","tag-western-sahara"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.shu.edu\/journalofdiplomacy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5563","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.shu.edu\/journalofdiplomacy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.shu.edu\/journalofdiplomacy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.shu.edu\/journalofdiplomacy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5107"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.shu.edu\/journalofdiplomacy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5563"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.shu.edu\/journalofdiplomacy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5563\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5565,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.shu.edu\/journalofdiplomacy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5563\/revisions\/5565"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.shu.edu\/journalofdiplomacy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5566"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.shu.edu\/journalofdiplomacy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5563"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.shu.edu\/journalofdiplomacy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5563"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.shu.edu\/journalofdiplomacy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5563"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}