The Philippines Hedging Between Alliance or Appeasement: Can the Biden Administration Tip the Balance?
This webinar will look at how the Philippine and the U.S. defense establishments have effectively managed the crisis in the Philippine-U.S. alliance created by the Duterte Administration’s appeasement policy on China since 2016. This appeasement policy was characterized by the administration’s efforts to foster closer diplomatic and economic relations with China while making calculated moves to distance the Philippines from the U.S. and its allies (Japan and Australia) relative to the South China Sea disputes. In February 2020, however, President Duterte unilaterally abrogated the 1999 Philippine-U.S. Visiting Forces Agreement (VFA). This triggered another crisis in the alliance. The webinar will look at the Biden Administration’s immediate challenges facing the Biden Administration as it seeks to renegotiate another VFA with the Philippines in the face of President Duterte’s ambivalent attitude toward the alliance and to ensure that it will remain intact beyond his administration. It will also look at Biden’s long-term task to ensure that the Philippine-U.S. alliance remains intact, flexible, and vibrant in the face of a changing 21st-century Indo-Pacific region.
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